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Upcoming tobacco price increases, country by country

As of 31 October 2026, 15 tobacco tax increases are scheduled in 10 countries up to 2030. The next one: Czech Republic, on 1 January 2027.

Each entry gives the official rates before and after the increase, the status of the text and a link to its source. A tax increase is not always passed on in full: manufacturers set retail prices. Pack prices marked “estimate” are our calculation, assuming unchanged margins.

Upcoming increases

2027

Czech Republic1 January 2027Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettesKč 2,390Kč 2,510
Cigarettes, ad valorem dutyof the retail price30%30%
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettesKč 4,660Kč 4,890
Rolling tobacco, specific dutyper kiloKč 3,650Kč 3,830

Last step of the increase voted in 2023 in the budget consolidation act (about +5% a year since 2024). Each pack price is set by the manufacturer and published by customs.

Germany1 January 2027Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€122.80€143.40
Cigarettes, ad valorem dutyof the retail price19.84%21.05%
Rolling tobacco, specific dutyper kilo€61.58€75.80
Rolling tobacco, ad valorem dutyof the retail price17.40%17.97%
Rolling tobacco, minimum dutyper kilo€128.83€155.34
Vape liquidsper millilitre€0.32€0.38

Pack of Marlboro: €9.40 → €10.23 (cigprices estimate)

First of four annual increases, law published on 20 October 2026. A drafting error brought it into force on 21 October: customs apply the current rates until 31 December, and a correction is under way.

France1 January 2027Automatic indexation
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€73.30not yet published
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€381.90not yet published

The fixed part and the minimum follow inflation every 1 January (article L. 314-24 of the French tax code on goods and services). We estimate the rise at about 2%, or 3 cents per pack; the official order is due at the end of December. Parliament could still freeze it: the Senate takes up the social security budget from 9 November.

Our article · Sources: Légifrance, article L. 314-24 du CIBS, Sénat, PLFSS 2027 · checked on 31 October 2026
Hungary1 January 2027Automatic indexation
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettesFt 36,720Ft 37,160
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettesFt 59,800Ft 60,520
Rolling tobacco, specific dutyper kiloFt 32,200Ft 32,590
Heated tobaccoper stickFt 50Ft 51

Annual indexation to July inflation (1.2% in 2026), with the rates already published by the Hungarian tax authority.

Our article · Sources: NAV, jövedéki adómértékek 2027 · checked on 31 October 2026
Italy1 January 2027Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€32.00€35.50
Cigarettes, ad valorem dutyof the retail price49.23%48.50%

Rates set by Budget Law No. 199 of 30 December 2025. The government's technical report puts the rise at about 25 cents per pack in 2027 compared with 2025, or around ten cents for 2027 alone (our calculation).

Luxembourg1 January 2027Bill, not yet passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€152.80€165.00
Rolling tobacco, minimum dutyper kilo€77.90€85.00

Draft 2027 budget (bill No. 8800), tabled on 7 October 2026. By our calculation, 25 to 30 cents more per pack; Marlboro would stay at around €8.

Our article · Sources: Chambre des députés, projet de loi n° 8800 · checked on 22 October 2026
Morocco1 January 2027Bill, not yet passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettesMAD 550MAD 645
Cigarettes, ad valorem dutyof the retail price56.5%57.5%
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettesMAD 953MAD 1,025
E-cigarettesper unitMAD 50MAD 100

Finance bill No. 60-26, presented on 23 October 2026 and not yet passed. It plans an increase every year until 2031, when the minimum would reach 1,346 dirhams per 1,000 cigarettes.

Our article · Sources: Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances, PLF 2027 · checked on 24 October 2026
Poland1 January 2027Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigaretteszł 414.00zł 476.10

Pack of Marlboro: zł 28.99 → zł 31.51 (cigprices estimate)

Increase set by the excise act of 18 October 2024, with no new vote needed. Rolling tobacco, heated tobacco and nicotine pouches go up too.

Our article · Sources: Dz.U. 2024 poz. 1681 · checked on 27 October 2026
Austria1 February 2027Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€85.50€87.50

Step set in the Austrian Federal Law Gazette in 2025. About 5 cents more per pack, VAT included, by our calculation.

Our article · Sources: BGBl. I Nr. 97/2025 · checked on 30 October 2026
Australia1 March 2027Automatic indexation
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettesA$1,552.74not yet published

Duty is indexed twice a year to average earnings (+1.6% on 1 September 2026). The March rate is not known yet.

Our article · Sources: Australian Border Force, Customs Notice 2026/32 · checked on 14 October 2026
Italy1 July 2027Bill, not yet passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€35.50€38.50

The draft 2027 budget, approved by the Council of Ministers on 28 October 2026, would bring forward the step planned for 2028 by six months. Parliament must pass it before 31 December.

2028

Italy1 January 2028Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettes€35.50€38.50

Step set by Budget Law No. 199 of 2025. If the draft 2027 budget is passed, it will apply from 1 July 2027.

Our article · Sources: Legge 30 dicembre 2025, n. 199 · checked on 30 October 2026

2029

2030

No increase planned for 2027

Recently in force

Hungary1 November 2026Law passed
DutyBeforeAfter
Cigarettes, specific dutyper 1,000 cigarettesFt 33,690Ft 36,720
Cigarettes, minimum dutyper 1,000 cigarettesFt 47,140Ft 59,800
Rolling tobacco, specific dutyper kiloFt 29,270Ft 32,200
Rolling tobacco, ad valorem dutyof the retail price0%5%
Heated tobaccoper stickFt 40Ft 50
Vape liquidsper millilitreFt 38Ft 41

Pack of Marlboro: Ft 2,750 → Ft 2,950 (official price)

Act L of 2026, passed on 15 September. Marlboro Red rose to 2,950 forints on 29 October according to the regulator's official list, about €8.05, more than in Austria.

France1 November 2026New official prices

Marlboro Red, soft pack: €13.50 → €14.00 (official price)

Official list of 1 November: among the best-selling references, only the Marlboro Red soft pack goes up.

Our article · Sources: Douane française, prix au 1er novembre 2026 · checked on 29 October 2026

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

When is the next tobacco tax increase?
The next increase we track is in Czech Republic, on 1 January 2027 (law passed). Last step of the increase voted in 2023 in the budget consolidation act (about +5% a year since 2024). Each pack price is set by the manufacturer and published by customs.
Which countries raise tobacco taxes on 1 January 2027?
Czech Republic (law passed), Germany (law passed), France (automatic indexation), Hungary (automatic indexation), Italy (law passed), Luxembourg (bill, not yet passed), Morocco (bill, not yet passed), and Poland (law passed). The rates before and after, and the official source of each increase, are listed on this page.
In which countries will tobacco taxes stay the same in 2027?
Based on the laws and budgets known on 31 October 2026: Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and Belgium. A budget still under discussion can change this.

We update this page with every new text (law, budget, official rate table) and check each entry against its source. Current prices by country are in our ranking, the method and raw data on our data page.

Higher prices remain one of the best-documented ways to reduce smoking. If you want to stop, our quit smoking guide reviews the methods and how well they work.